Ascenso MX Finals Final
Global 2-6
Correcaminos UAT vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Correcaminos UAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
UAT
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
0 - 1
LEO
34%
26%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
UAT
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 0
MER
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 1
IRA
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
LOB
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 3
LEO
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
UAT
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
0 - 1
LEO
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 2
MER
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |