Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
14º
15º
8
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
20 | 30 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 28 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 27 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 23 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 22 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 20 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 18 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 17 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 16 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 16 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 12 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
15º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Final Series
|
6.5% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Correcaminos UAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TIA
3 - 2
UAT
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 0
UAT
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
UAT
0 - 2
CIM
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UAT
2 - 1
MER
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 2
UAT
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CA La Paz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 2
ATL
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TIA
0 - 2
CAP
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
UDG
3 - 1
CAP
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 1
UDG
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MER
2 - 3
CAP
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |