Correcaminos UAT vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
13º
13º
11
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 30 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 23 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 20 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 19 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 16 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 13 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 13 |
15º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2% | 81% |
|
Final Series
|
11% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Correcaminos UAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 0
UAT
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
UAT
5 - 1
CAP
36%
25%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TIA
3 - 2
UAT
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 0
UAT
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
UAT
0 - 2
CIM
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
DOR
74%
17%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
TOR
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
PDS
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
TOR
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 3
CDT
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |