UA Tamaulipas vs CA Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
10º
9º
9
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 21 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 21 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 20 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 19 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 16 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 15 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 13 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 13 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 12 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 12 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 11 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 8 |
12º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
1.5% | 47.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
4.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 0
COR
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
COR
2 - 3
GAV
16%
22%
62%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUL
0 - 0
COR
36%
23%
41%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IRA
7%
16%
78%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LEO
3 - 0
COR
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ZAC
4 - 0
AGU
40%
25%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REB
0 - 1
ZAC
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
3 - 1
PDS
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HDZ
4 - 0
ZAC
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
4 - 3
ZAC
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |