UA Tamaulipas vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
10º
9º
5
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 29 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 22 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 19 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 19 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 16 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
1 | 15 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 9 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 7 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
56% | 47% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
COR
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
CFO
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAY
1 - 2
COR
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 1
AGU
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 1
CAN
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IPC
1 - 0
LUL
70%
19%
12%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LUL
5 - 0
PDC
22%
24%
55%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 3
HDZ
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |