UA Tamaulipas vs Aguacateros de Peribán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+129%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
10º
9º
5
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 29 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 22 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 19 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 19 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 16 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
1 | 15 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 9 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 7 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
56% | 55% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 45% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
4 - 1
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
LUL
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
COR
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aguacateros de Peribán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 2
AGU
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REB
0 - 0
ADP
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 0
PDS
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 0
ADP
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 2
IRA
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |