Corluspor vs Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
12º
8º
1
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
1 | 55 |
1º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 55 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 54 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 52 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 47 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 45 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 43 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 40 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 38 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 36 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 25 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 17 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 7.5% |
|
Next round
|
34% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CSP
2 - 0
YOZ
86%
9%
4%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
CSP
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 0
CSP
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
EDI
1 - 2
CSP
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CSP
3 - 2
ABE
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 1
AYV
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AYV
0 - 2
AFK
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AYV
1 - 0
EDI
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KEP
2 - 3
AYV
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AYV
4 - 1
KIR
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |