Cork City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
CAO
2 - 0
SHR
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
CAO
3 - 1
FIN
75%
17%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
CAO
7 - 0
WAT
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 2
CAO
28%
28%
45%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
CAO
1 - 1
WEX
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BRW
1 - 0
STP
27%
26%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
STP
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
STP
4 - 0
WEX
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
FIN
1 - 2
STP
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
STP
1 - 1
SLR
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |