Cork City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ATH
0 - 7
CAO
10%
22%
68%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAO
3 - 3
LIM
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
WEX
0 - 1
CAO
15%
22%
63%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
MER
1 - 2
CAO
16%
25%
59%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
CAO
2 - 2
WEX
76%
18%
6%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
STP
1 - 1
SHR
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
BRW
0 - 3
STP
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
STP
6 - 1
GAL
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
WAT
0 - 3
STP
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
STP
1 - 1
BOH
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |