UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Cork City vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
CAO
2 - 1
DER
59%
24%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
SHE
2 - 2
CAO
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
CAO
2 - 1
STP
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
WAT
1 - 1
CAO
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
CAO
1 - 0
LON
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2004 |
HEL
0 - 2
MFF
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
MFF
0 - 0
KAL
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
LAN
2 - 1
MFF
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
MFF
0 - 0
AIK
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
MFF
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |