Cork City vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
3º
1º
24
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 0
CAO
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 0
CAO
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
CAO
0 - 4
GAL
16%
21%
63%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 1
CAO
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
BOH
4 - 0
CAO
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 3
GAL
3%
8%
89%
|
9 | 73 | 64 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
COB
1 - 1
KEF
85%
11%
4%
|
8 | 54 | 46 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 1
WAT
11%
18%
71%
|
8 | 67 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 2
WEX
9%
18%
74%
|
8 | 55 | 47 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 1
KEF
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | 0 |