Cork City vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
3º
1º
45
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 87.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 3
CAO
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
BRW
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
4 - 1
COB
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 0
LON
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
0 - 0
UCD
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
CLI
13%
18%
69%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
KEF
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
FIN
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
COB
2 - 0
FIN
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |