Cork City vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
CAO
3 - 0
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
CAO
23%
26%
52%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BRW
0 - 0
CAO
19%
27%
54%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
CAO
3 - 1
STP
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CAO
1 - 0
GAL
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
SHR
23%
29%
48%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
CAO
3 - 0
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
CAO
23%
26%
52%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
DRO
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
STP
0 - 1
DER
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |