Cork City vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CAO
2 - 1
BOH
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LIM
0 - 0
CAO
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
STP
1 - 0
CAO
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CAO
3 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
3 - 2
CAO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
DRO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
UCD
0 - 6
DER
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
DER
0 - 1
SLR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DER
3 - 2
STP
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |