Cork City vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SHR
1 - 1
CAO
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
CAO
6 - 1
ATH
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
DRO
1 - 1
CAO
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
CAO
4 - 2
UCD
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
STP
0 - 0
CAO
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
SHE
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
DER
4 - 0
FIN
76%
17%
8%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
DER
3 - 2
BRW
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
BOH
1 - 2
DER
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
DER
0 - 2
STP
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |