Cork City vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 3
CAO
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
CAO
0 - 1
STP
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ATH
0 - 7
CAO
10%
22%
68%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAO
3 - 3
LIM
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
WEX
0 - 1
CAO
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
DER
2 - 2
DRO
78%
16%
6%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
UCD
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SLR
1 - 1
DER
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
DER
3 - 3
SLR
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 1
DER
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |