Cork City vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
30.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
CAO
0 - 0
SLR
51%
27%
21%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
STP
1 - 1
CAO
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 0
CAO
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
CAO
4 - 2
GAL
55%
27%
18%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
DRO
0 - 1
CAO
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
DER
0 - 1
BOH
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
DRO
1 - 3
DER
36%
30%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
DUN
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
DER
1 - 3
GAL
64%
23%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
BRW
0 - 1
DER
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |