Cork City vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
3º
1º
31
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 79 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 55 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 40 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 51.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LON
0 - 2
CAO
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
UCD
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
CAO
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 0
KEF
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 0
CAO
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
BRW
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 3
BRW
12%
20%
68%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BRW
1 - 2
UCD
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
BRW
70%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 0
SHE
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +2 |