Coritiba SE vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 3
COR
70%
18%
13%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 1
COR
71%
18%
11%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
SOC
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
CDC
18%
20%
62%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
COR
69%
20%
11%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 0
SOC
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 1
CDC
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 3
ITA
37%
25%
39%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 0
ITA
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
COR
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | -1 |