Coritiba SE vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
3 - 1
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
ITA
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
AMA
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +3 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
COR
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 2
EST
39%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
EST
4 - 3
CDC
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
3 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EST
2 - 3
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 2
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |