Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-2
Coritiba vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
COT
2 - 1
SAN
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 2
COT
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
COT
3 - 1
PPE
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
AMF
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |