Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-1
Coritiba vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CRI
2 - 1
COT
22%
25%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
COT
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
COR
1 - 0
COT
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
COT
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CRZ
5 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 1
PPE
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
VIT
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |