Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama analysis

Coritiba Vasco da Gama
81 ELO 78
-10.7% Tilt -15%
316º General ELO ranking 194º
27º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Coritiba
25%
Draw
32.3%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
Coritiba
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.2%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coritiba
+2%
-3%
Vasco da Gama

ELO progression

Coritiba
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2005
JUV
EC Juventude
0 - 0
Coritiba
COT
42%
27%
30%
81 77 4 0
18 Sep. 2005
COT
Coritiba
0 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
38%
26%
37%
81 83 2 0
11 Sep. 2005
COT
Coritiba
1 - 4
São Paulo
SAO
27%
25%
49%
81 86 5 0
09 Sep. 2005
PAL
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Coritiba
COT
56%
23%
21%
81 81 0 0
28 Aug. 2005
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 0
Coritiba
COT
67%
20%
14%
82 86 4 -1

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2005
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Ponte Preta
PPE
59%
22%
19%
79 76 3 0
18 Sep. 2005
SAO
São Paulo
4 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
62%
20%
18%
79 87 8 0
11 Sep. 2005
VAS
Vasco da Gama
5 - 2
EC Juventude
JUV
52%
24%
25%
79 79 0 0
07 Sep. 2005
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
43%
24%
33%
79 76 3 0
28 Aug. 2005
FOR
Fortaleza EC
4 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
34%
25%
42%
79 71 8 0
X