Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
COT
2 - 3
JUV
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
COR
0 - 0
COT
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
CRZ
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
COT
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
COT
2 - 1
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
4 - 1
VAS
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
FFL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 0
SCI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 1
VAS
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |