Paranaense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 6-0
Coritiba vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
11%
20%
70%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 1
GRE
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 2
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JMA
1 - 0
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
11%
20%
70%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 2
ATP
11%
21%
68%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 0
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
TCW
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |