Coritiba vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 2
COT
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
COT
3 - 1
PPE
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
COT
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
COT
0 - 2
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
COT
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 2
SAN
8%
17%
75%
|
86 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATM
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
19%
25%
57%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | -1 |