Coritiba vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
VAS
1 - 0
COT
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 2
COT
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
COT
2 - 0
FLU
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
COT
1 - 2
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
COT
2 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATP
51%
22%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
SCI
3 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |