Coritiba vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 2
COT
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 1
COT
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
COT
3 - 0
CSA
75%
18%
7%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
COT
0 - 0
NPR
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
CSA
0 - 4
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
GRÊ
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
OES
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |