Coritiba vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
COT
14%
21%
66%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 4
COT
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
COT
5 - 0
IRA
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
COT
9%
17%
75%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CCR
86%
11%
3%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 1
ROM
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
CIA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 0
OPE
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ATP
4 - 2
ROM
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
ROM
3 - 1
PAR
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +2 |