Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Coritiba vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
COT
2 - 4
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 2
COT
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 1
COT
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
COT
3 - 0
CSA
75%
18%
7%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
COT
0 - 0
NPR
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 0
PPE
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 2
COT
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 0
ABC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 1
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
PPE
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |