Coritiba vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PST
2 - 1
COT
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
COT
3 - 3
RIO
75%
18%
7%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
OPE
73%
19%
8%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 2
COT
9%
19%
73%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
LON
69%
20%
10%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATP
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
TCW
71%
21%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
RIO
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |