Coritiba vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
COT
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
SAO
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 0
COT
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
COT
0 - 1
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 0
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
PPE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |