Coritiba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FLA
3 - 0
COT
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
COT
1 - 1
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GOI
2 - 2
COT
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
AVA
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 0
ATM
35%
26%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 2
GRE
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 0
ATP
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CRZ
4 - 2
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |