Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-1
Coritiba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
UBA
0 - 0
COT
9%
21%
70%
|
81 | 32 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 0
COT
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
COT
2 - 0
ROM
82%
14%
4%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CAM
0 - 1
COT
12%
22%
67%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
COT
1 - 1
CIA
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 0
COT
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
NAU
7%
15%
79%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 2
ITA
91%
7%
2%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | -1 |