Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-4
Coritiba vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.2%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 1
COT
10%
18%
72%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
ATP
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 2
COT
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 3
COT
9%
18%
74%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
LON
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 3
PRI
57%
22%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 1
COT
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 0
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 2
PRI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 4
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |