Coritiba vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
RIO
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 0
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
CIA
85%
12%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JMA
3 - 1
TCW
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
JMA
2 - 2
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
JMA
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JMA
0 - 0
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
CIA
1 - 3
JMA
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |