Coritiba vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 1
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 0
COT
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
COT
2 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 2
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
1 - 1
COT
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
3 - 1
GAM
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 2
VAS
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FLU
2 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 2
GUA
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 0
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |