Coritiba vs Grêmio analysis

Coritiba Grêmio
76 ELO 83
-0.9% Tilt -11.4%
319º General ELO ranking 61º
27º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.4%
Coritiba
26.8%
Draw
41.8%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
Coritiba
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.8%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coritiba
+2%
-7%
Grêmio

ELO progression

Coritiba
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2016
COT
Coritiba
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
49%
25%
26%
74 74 0 0
28 Aug. 2016
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 0
Coritiba
COT
52%
25%
23%
74 78 4 0
26 Aug. 2016
VIT
Vitória
2 - 1
Coritiba
COT
50%
24%
26%
75 72 3 -1
21 Aug. 2016
COT
Coritiba
2 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
24%
26%
50%
74 86 12 +1
14 Aug. 2016
CRZ
Cruzeiro
2 - 2
Coritiba
COT
68%
20%
12%
74 82 8 0

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2016
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
33%
27%
40%
84 76 8 0
28 Aug. 2016
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
43%
26%
31%
84 84 0 0
25 Aug. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
33%
28%
39%
83 78 5 +1
21 Aug. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
38%
27%
35%
84 79 5 -1
14 Aug. 2016
GRE
Grêmio
3 - 0
Corinthians
COR
36%
28%
36%
83 87 4 +1
X