Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 1-4
Coritiba vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 1
COT
46%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
COT
2 - 1
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
COT
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
COT
1 - 1
GOI
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
COT
1 - 1
COR
29%
30%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
JEC
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 2
GRE
64%
21%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
GAU
1 - 3
GRE
8%
19%
73%
|
83 | 21 | 62 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
5 - 0
SCI
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 0
GAU
85%
13%
3%
|
82 | 21 | 61 | 0 |