Coritiba vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
COT
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
COT
0 - 0
PAL
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 1
COT
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
COT
2 - 0
PPE
49%
27%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
COT
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
SCI
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
GRE
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAY
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |