Coritiba vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
COT
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
CRI
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
1 - 2
COT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 2
COT
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 1
PAY
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 2
FLU
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FLU
3 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
PPE
3 - 2
FLU
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
FLU
0 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |