Coritiba vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
COR
0 - 1
COT
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
COT
0 - 2
SAO
30%
25%
44%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
COT
66%
19%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
COT
2 - 0
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 3
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2003 |
PPE
3 - 0
FLU
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FLU
5 - 2
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |