Coritiba vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
COT
1 - 2
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
COT
2 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
BAH
1 - 2
COT
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
PPE
2 - 0
COT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
COT
1 - 0
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
JUV
2 - 0
FLU
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FLU
3 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLU
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |