Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 3-3
Coritiba vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
COT
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COT
0 - 1
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
COT
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 2
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COT
0 - 1
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |