Coritiba vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 2
COT
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 2
COT
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
1 - 1
COT
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATM
37%
25%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |