Coritiba vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ATP
2 - 0
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
COT
1 - 0
GOI
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 1
COT
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
COT
1 - 0
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 1
COT
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
BAH
3 - 0
SAO
32%
24%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GOI
3 - 1
BAH
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 1
FFL
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
PAY
4 - 0
BAH
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |