Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 5-0
Coritiba vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
JMA
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COT
6 - 2
RIO
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
COT
3 - 1
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 4
COT
14%
20%
66%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COT
2 - 0
ARA
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 1
RES
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
3 - 1
BOT
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
FLA
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
DUQ
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 2
DUQ
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |