Coritiba vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
IFC
5 - 1
COT
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
COT
2 - 0
BAH
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
COT
1 - 2
SAO
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
COT
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 1
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
DUQ
2 - 2
FFL
23%
25%
53%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 0
DUQ
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
DUQ
2 - 1
BRA
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 1
DUQ
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 2
DUQ
72%
18%
9%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |