Coritiba vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
1 - 2
COT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 2
COT
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 2
COT
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAL
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 3
CRI
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
CRI
3 - 1
PPE
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 2
CRI
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
CRI
4 - 1
ATP
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |