Coritiba vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
COT
2 - 3
AVA
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
JUV
3 - 0
COT
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
COT
4 - 0
DBO
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
DBO
2 - 3
COT
25%
25%
51%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
AVA
2 - 0
COT
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
DBO
1 - 1
CAX
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
CAX
5 - 1
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
CAX
3 - 3
OPE
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SCI
1 - 0
CAX
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |